Dunning Kruger effect, it says stupid people suffer from dual burden. One is that they are stupid and second is that they are not aware of it.
Everybody at some point of time would have felt foolish about something or the other. David Dunning said that naive people are more confident about the things they dont know than people who know about it. Charles Darwin said something similar , Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge: it is those who know little, and not those who know much, who so positively assert that this or that problem will never be solved by science . I say , some people know they do not know the subject well, they go on about making limpid claims like they can predict future. I imply that they do not know how silly they may seem, but they ought to know better as some of them are in powerful positions. Politicians are not the only protagonists here.
Every now and then I see people making claims and passing loose judgments, including myself. Lack of foresight is not the only reason for it, it is much more than that.
One such statement was from AIFF ( All India Federation of Football) spokesperson, who recently said that India could qualify for the Football World Cup in next 20-30 years of time. According to him, all things are positive and they are going in the right direction to achieve that result, expect that they are not.
Even though this about football, there is no football about what happened here.
Someone who has never played the game, someone who does not have a clue of inner mechanics of the subject is blabbering gibberish. This happens all the time. Ask people what is love and here their answers. You will laugh to death. There is a quality of vacuity among all of us. We talk more and think less. Think more and valuate less.
Current ranking of India in Men’s Football is 97, which is huge improvement since 2016, when the ranking was somewhere in 150s. Statistically the AIFF spokesperson may be right in betting his hopes on the dream, but to do so you need to ask, why do India need to qualify for the world cup? Is it to prove the world that a population of 1.2 billion people can assemble a team of mere 11 mortals and compete in the greatest game ever or is it just a side effect of the passions that they have for the game.
Right from the start of Olympics in Greece, sports has been a channel for people to let go of themselves like in movies. It is a form of association, obsession,entertainment and group activity. Doing sports for the sake of doing it is not new. You need not be ardent follower to be good at a sport; in fact I play football with many people who don’t even watch the game, let alone follow. The question remains how do you qualify for the world cup?
That is not even the right question. India is not good at many sports, so are many in many things. Football is one of hardest sport in the world and people want to think India can crack this with absolutely no lineage and history which is like waking up one day playing symphony 41 of Mozart with no practice. You need to do something for right reasons. Mark Manson puts that in a blunt way, you have limited fucks to give about, so choose the right one to give a fuck about. There is a strong reason why Indians do not feel football is a sport to invest their time and energy on at a professional level. They are doing so because they do not see any future in it and they are right.
Europe, Middle East, Africa and many other countries far poorer and with lesser resources than India have a good team and are competing in World Cup. How did that happen? is that a miracle story like a Hero’s journey? Well, those countries had a good team before. They have the history. They want to continue to build on what they had and they are doing so at present. They are in it not just for money but for the possibility and hope of better future, a dream. They continue to progress through their children and that trend will continue like it has for decades.
I do not think India will qualify for the world cup in my life time. History repeats. Among 16 nations qualified for the group stage of world cup 2018, 10 teams are from Europe and this will continue to persist. The new breed of players will come from the same places as they have come before. Those are wombs of footballing talent. No plant can germinate without right conditions, just like you cannot grow apples in a desert. Either the conditions are created intentionally or they are spin off of something else. Unfortunately India has neither so far.
Do not ask the wrong question. Don’t ask when India will qualify for the world. You should ask, how well can India play football? How can India harness their culture and identity into the world’s most beautiful game? What can India learn from the footballing academies of the world? What can India do differently in their household that empowers their children to follow their passion? Why is Indian media so biased? Why are so many ignorant people calling the shots on critical subjects? Why do you need external validation for yourself? Why do you associate yourself with false entities?
Do not play to be in the world cup. Play if you like, and work hard to be a better version of yourself. If you are good enough you will be invited to the world cup, do not worry about that. And that applies to everything, focus on the journey not the destination.